Bet on whether the next launch goes, scrubs or blows. Stakes and payouts in tokenized SpaceX stock, outcome from the public launch record.
Launch updates
Updates come from the public launch record as the range publishes them. A launch that slips before T-0 settles as no go, whatever the reason.
Book
| Wallet | Side | SPCX | Block |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bets yet | |||
Markets
| Launch | Closes | Pool | Outcome | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| first market opens with the first confirmed launch | ||||
What usually happens
| Launch | Flew | Slips before T-0 | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| reading the record… | |||
Coming launches
- reading…
Schedule from Launch Library 2. A bare date is a placeholder: the day is pencilled, the time is not. Markets open only on confirmed windows.
Three lamps, one record
Go
Lifts off and the record says Success. Go pool splits the rest.
No go
T-0 passes with no liftoff: scrub, hold, slip to another day. No go pool splits the rest.
Anomaly
Lifts off and the record says Failure or Partial Failure. Anomaly pool splits the rest.
Bets close at the scheduled T-0. The resolver posts the outcome with the Launch Library record id, 2% of the losing pool goes to the treasury, winners share the rest in proportion. Nobody on the winning lamp: every stake refunded. Stake cap per wallet per market. Contract is public; read it before you bet.